ENTEGRIS INC
ENTGW: semiconductores · materiales para semis (W en interconexiones)actualizado 2026-08-03Precio del tungsteno (APT) — fuente CTIA
No existe serie pública del tungsteno en FRED; esta se extrae del texto de los partes de CTIA con cita verificada. 108 meses disponibles: sirve para leer el momento, NO para validar históricamente.
| Mes | APT (RMB/t) | Horquilla p25–p75 | Citas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08 | 610.000 | 610.000–610.000 | 5 |
| 2026-07 | 610.000 | 600.000–660.000 | 88 |
| 2026-06 | 780.000 | 750.000–800.000 | 73 |
| 2026-05 | 816.800 | 660.000–1.020.000 | 64 |
| 2026-04 | 1.380.000 | 1.340.000–1.430.000 | 77 |
| 2026-03 | 1.490.000 | 1.330.000–1.500.000 | 70 |
| 2026-02 | 995.000 | 920.000–1.033.300 | 58 |
| 2026-01 | 751.071 | 710.000–795.000 | 84 |
| 2025-12 | 555.000 | 518.000–630.000 | 93 |
| 2025-11 | 472.000 | 460.000–484.000 | 75 |
| 2025-10 | 403.000 | 393.000–412.000 | 79 |
| 2025-09 | 403.400 | 398.000–410.000 | 78 |
Mediana de las citas del mes. La horquilla ancha indica que ese mes mezcla menciones al precio del día, a la media mensual y a la media acumulada del año. Trazabilidad completa (cita + URL del post) en market/tungsten_prices_raw.csv.
Tesis (determinista — solo hechos computados)
9 lecturas generadas desde artefactos point-in-time, a 2026-08-05; ningún dato inventado
Precio vs valor (point-in-time)
Conclusión: el backtest muestra que “precio por debajo del IV” ha sido señal de techo de ciclo en esta cíclica (corr −0.32 a 60d) — leer este gráfico como semáforo de compra rompe la tesis.
Trimestres (últimos 16 de 37)
Truth set XBRL con fecha de primera publicación y accession por dato
| Trimestre | Revenue | GM% | EBITDA≈ | Publicado | Accession |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026Q1 | $811.9M | 46.9% | $175.7M | 2026-04-30 | 0001101302-26-000102 |
| 2025Q4 | $823.9M | 43.8% | $158.6M | 2026-02-11 | 0001101302-26-000012 |
| 2025Q3 | $807.1M | 43.5% | $173.0M | 2025-10-30 | 0001101302-25-000103 |
| 2025Q2 | $792.4M | 44.4% | $157.4M | 2025-07-30 | 0001101302-25-000079 |
| 2025Q1 | $773.2M | 46.1% | $172.2M | 2025-05-07 | 0001101302-25-000060 |
| 2024Q4 | $849.8M | 45.6% | $198.3M | 2025-02-12 | 0001101302-25-000015 |
| 2024Q3 | $807.7M | 46.0% | $183.3M | 2024-11-04 | 0001101302-24-000074 |
| 2024Q2 | $812.7M | 46.2% | $177.5M | 2024-07-31 | 0001101302-24-000053 |
| 2024Q1 | $771.0M | 45.6% | $162.9M | 2024-05-01 | 0001101302-24-000040 |
| 2023Q4 | $812.3M | 42.4% | $143.6M | 2024-02-15 | 0001101302-24-000009 |
| 2023Q3 | $888.2M | 41.3% | $156.7M | 2023-11-02 | 0001101302-23-000089 |
| 2023Q3 | $901.0M | 42.6% | $311.3M | 2023-08-03 | 0001101302-23-000082 |
| 2023Q2 | $922.4M | 43.5% | $60.2M | 2023-05-11 | 0001101302-23-000069 |
| 2022Q4 | $946.1M | 42.8% | $185.7M | 2023-02-23 | 0001101302-23-000021 |
| 2022Q4 | $993.8M | 37.4% | $60.1M | 2022-11-02 | 0001101302-22-000050 |
| 2022Q3 | $692.5M | 44.8% | $182.4M | 2022-08-02 | 0001101302-22-000042 |
Nowcast direccional sectorial
Dirección del margen bruto vs pata de commodity (point-in-time, réplica del M10 de ALTO)
Llamada actual (vs 2026Q1): margen ▲ sube — semis_ip 2.5% QTD · a 2026-08-04
| Pata | Acierto direccional | n | p (1 cola) |
|---|---|---|---|
| semis_ip primaria (a priori) | 56% | 36 | 0.3089 |
dirección del promedio trimestral de la pata (solo obs publicadas antes del filing, lag 14d mes+1) vs dirección del cambio de margen — regla de signo sin parámetros, réplica del M10 de ALTO
El eslabón coste: por qué el margen no se deja predecir
ΔMargen bruto descompuesto en la parte que explica semis_ip y el residuo (coste unitario, mix y volumen), walk-forward sobre 28 trimestres
| Modelo (misma ventana de test) | Acierto direccional | n |
|---|---|---|
| Regla de signo (sin parámetros) | 54% | 13 |
| OLS sobre el commodity mejor | 56% | 16 |
| OLS + momentum de coste | 50% | 16 |
| Signo + momentum de coste | 44% | 16 |
ΔGM = β·Δlog(pata) + ε con β y φ(AR1 de ε) reestimados walk-forward solo con trimestres ya publicados; el residuo agrupa coste unitario, mix y volumen
Backtest de eventos (señal → precio)
Long/short según la señal sectorial pre-filing, sin costes. El pooled de la cadena NO es significativo (t=1.5 a 20d) — igual que ALTO: la señal predice márgenes, no retornos.
Riesgos declarados (Item 1A)
22 factores del 10-K de 2026-02-11, verbatim del documento. 0 son nuevos frente al de 2025-02-12.
- Risks Related to Our Business and Industry
- Provisions in our charter documents and Delaware law may delay or prevent an acquisition of us, which could decrease the value of our shares.
- Interruptions in our supply chain, including those from our sole, single and limited source suppliers, could affect our ability to manufacture our products and meet demand, which, in turn, could have an adverse effect on our revenue and results of operations.
- A significant portion of our sales is concentrated on a limited number of key customers, and our net sales and profitability may materially decline if we were to lose one or more of these customers.
- If we are unable to anticipate and respond to rapid technological change and customer requirements by continuing to innovate and introduce new and enhanced products and solutions, we may experience a loss of market share, decreased sales, revenue, profitability and damage to our reputation.
- Manufacturing interruptions or delays, or other disruptions to our operations, could adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations and reputation.
- We may be subject to IT system failures, network disruptions and cybersecurity and data breaches, which could damage our reputation and adversely affect our financial condition, results of operations and cash flows. New laws and regulations regarding data privacy may also increase our costs.
- Our operations use hazardous materials that expose us to various risks, including potential liability for personal injury and potential remediation obligations.
- We carry a significant amount of goodwill on our balance sheet.
- Loss of any of our key personnel could harm our business, and our inability to attract and retain new qualified personnel could inhibit our ability to operate and grow our business successfully.
- If we fail to obtain, protect and enforce intellectual property rights, our business and prospects could be harmed.
- Implementation of, and reporting on, our environmental, social and governance commitments could result in additional costs, and our inability to achieve these commitments could have an adverse impact on our reputation and performance.
- We are subject to a variety of rapidly evolving environmental laws and regulations that could cause us to incur significant liabilities and expenses.
- Changes in taxation or adverse tax rulings could adversely affect our results of operations.
- We have a substantial amount of indebtedness and may in the future incur substantially more debt, each of which could adversely affect our ability to obtain financing in the future and react to changes in our business.
- We may be unable to generate sufficient cash to service our indebtedness and may be forced to take other actions, which may not be successful, to satisfy our obligations under our indebtedness.
- The terms of the Amended Credit Agreement and the Indentures may restrict our operations, particularly our ability to respond to changes or raise additional funds.
- The price of our common stock has been and may remain volatile.
- We may decrease or discontinue cash dividends and may never adopt a new program to repurchase our shares of common stock.
- Competition from new or existing companies could harm our financial condition, results of operations and cash flow.
- We may acquire other businesses, form joint ventures or divest businesses, any of which could negatively affect our financial performance.
- Climate change may have a long-term impact on our business, including by causing disruptions to our operations which may result in decreased revenue and cash flows.
encabezados en negrita/cursiva del HTML que aparecen dentro del Item 1A y van seguidos de ≥300 caracteres de cuerpo (así se descartan los encabezados de grupo); categorías por mapa fijo de palabras clave; 'nuevo' = ausente del 10-K anterior. Sin LLM. Caveat: algún encabezado de grupo puede sobrevivir si su primer subtítulo no venía resaltado en el HTML. · accession 0001101302-26-000012